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Aude case 14 15 Octobre 2018 flash flood in France

ludovicauger edited this page Feb 23, 2023 · 12 revisions

Aude case 14-15 Octobre 2018 flash flood in France

  • Forecasts with AROME at 500m over a domaine centered on the event (1600x1600 gridpoints)
  • 48 h forecasts from 14th of October, 00:00 UTC, 06:00 UTC, 12:00 UTC, 18:00 UTC
  • simulation performed in cy48t3, initial and boundary conditions from AROME france model (1.3km)
  • files uploaded to ECMWF's ATOS HPC
  • location on ECFS is : ec:/rm6/AUDE2018/2018/10/14/HH where HH is 00,06,12,18
  • below you can see the domain and some plots of the event. Here the 500m domain has the same localization of the event, that was already quite good at 1.3km, the maximum precipitation is somehow improved with 209 mm instead of 189mm, still behind the maximum observed of 300mm. This case had been considered to be quite well forecast by the operational configuration (1.3km) used at the time of the event.

domain_aude

the aude@500m domain (1600x1600 gridpoints)

antilope2018101400_cumul_18_30

rain accumulation during the event

rain_1 3km

AROME 1.3km rain accumulation from 14 february 00:00 UTC forecast

rain_500m

AROME 500m rain accumulation from 14 february 00:00 UTC forecast

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