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entsoe_outage_models

A package for building empirical and analytic time-series models of the aggregated unavailability of power generation fleets.

Main usage of this code has been in the creation of time series of aggregated generator outages for a number of Northwest European countries using the ENTSOe Transparency Platform, although code for generating analytic models of fleet unavailabilities is also provided.

The aggregated generator unavailability data for NW European countries is available at: https://doi.org/10.25405/data.ncl.18393971

This code was written for the analysis undertaken in the paper "Comparing Generator Unavailability Models with Empirical Distributions from Open Energy Datasets" submitted to the PMAPS 2022 conference (arxiv link to follow).

Note

In general, the scripts use options to select what to run - e.g., entsoeOutageDownload.py line 17-24 can be changed from 0 to 1 to enable those options.

Workflow

It is suggested that the usage is approached in the following way.

  1. The outage data for individual countries is download from entsoeOutageDownload.py, using download_config.py.
  2. The production and generation units are downloaded from entsoeProductionDownload.py.
  3. The data is then explored using the options in entsoeOutage.py.
  4. If wanting to use 'true' generator sizes, then there is a manual step. First, log into the online platform. Then, go to the "Installed Capacity per production Type" page; select years 2015-2021 for each of [BE, DE-AT-LU, DE-LU, DK-1, DK-2, FR, GB, IE, NL, NO-1, NO-2, NO-3 NO-4, NO-5], select export as csv. These should be downloaded and saved with the balancing zone code prepended the file, e.g., "BE_Installed Capacity per Production Type_201501010000-202201010000"; These should then be saved in the directory .\entsoe_outage_data\misc\inpr.

Limitations with the ENTSOe outage data

L1. By default, 'outages' which result in the output being 1.33 times greater than the generator nominal power are neglected. L2. Even with L1, sometimes 'negative' outages occur (e.g., for DK in early 2020, I0 in early 2019). L3. By default, we ignore outages on wind/solar/hydro run of river. L4. The reasons/convention for individual generators and what is classed as a 'Forced' versus 'Planned' outage has not been considered. L5. Forced and planned outages are considered seperately; possible clashes between these are not considered (e.g., both forced and planned outages occuring at the same time).

Scripts / options

entsoeOutageDownload.py - a script for automating the download of outage data for individual bidding zones entsoeOutage.py - a script for processing the outage data into .pkl files for onward analysis (e.g., creating a time series of data), as well as exploring the production & generation units. download_config.py - various information for changing download options, including the token used to call the API. entsoeProductionDownload.py - A script to downnload production and generation units

Directories

apiDoc - various bits of documentation from entsoe's API website entsoeData - directory which entsoe data is downloaded into gallery - directory to save figures by default misc - miscellaneous

Other

import_list.py - list of imports for the various scripts above eom_funcs.py - functions for working with the above scripts eom_utils.py - various util functions entsoe_py_data.py - various useful codes for use with the API, based on the useful API client entsoe-py

Acronyms

  • eom = entsoe_outage_models
  • png = Production aNd Generation
  • CH = ClearHeads (project)
  • BZ = Balancing Zone
  • APs = Availability Periods
  • DPs = Datetime [Availability] Periods (reconciled APs for a single BZ/country)
  • ECR = [NGESO EMR Delivery Body's] Electricity Capacity Report

Acknowledgements

This work was funded by the Supergen Energy Network hub (EP/S00078X/2) through the Climate-Energy Modelling for Assessing Resilience: Heat Decarbonisation and Northwest European Supergrid (CLEARHEADS) project.

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