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Echo state networks to predict South American Monsoon System wet season onset

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SAMS_prediction

Echo state networks to predict South American Monsoon System wet season onset

Based on the work of Takahito Mitsui and Niklas Boers 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 074024 (https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac0acb)

The file esn_SAMS.jl optimizes hyperparameters using Hyperopt.jl.

ensemble_ecn.jl is running an ensemble simulation using Multithreading with the optimized hyperparamters and saves the 100 best ESNs (output layer (Wout) and the esn) in two seperate folders.

ensemble_prediction.jl is loading the saved ESNs and is predicting the mean proximity function.

submit_esn_ensemble.sh is an example script for SLURM submission on a HPC.

The 100 ESNs are available here (if you want access, write me): ESN states & Output layer

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