Skip to content
New issue

Have a question about this project? Sign up for a free GitHub account to open an issue and contact its maintainers and the community.

By clicking “Sign up for GitHub”, you agree to our terms of service and privacy statement. We’ll occasionally send you account related emails.

Already on GitHub? Sign in to your account

High level model comparison functionality? #22

Open
ChrisRackauckas opened this issue Jan 25, 2023 · 0 comments
Open

High level model comparison functionality? #22

ChrisRackauckas opened this issue Jan 25, 2023 · 0 comments

Comments

@ChrisRackauckas
Copy link
Member

a. Convert the MechBayes SEIRHD model to an SIRHD model by removing the E compartment. Compute the same six-week forecast that you had done in Question 1a and compare the accuracy of the six-week forecasts with the forecasts done in Question 1a.
b. Further modify the MechBayes SEIRHD model and do a model space exploration and model selection from the following models, based on comparing forecasts of cases and deaths to actual data: SEIRD, SEIRHD, and SIRHD models. Use data from April 1, 2020 – April 30, 2020 from the scenario location (Massachusetts) for fitting these models. Then make out-of-sample forecasts from the same 6-week period from May 1 – June 15, 2020, and compare with actual data. Comment on the quality of the fit for each of these models.
c. Do a 3-way structural model comparison between the SEIRD, SEIRHD, and SIRHD models.

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment
Labels
None yet
Projects
None yet
Development

No branches or pull requests

1 participant