You signed in with another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.You signed out in another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.You switched accounts on another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.Dismiss alert
a. Convert the MechBayes SEIRHD model to an SIRHD model by removing the E compartment. Compute the same six-week forecast that you had done in Question 1a and compare the accuracy of the six-week forecasts with the forecasts done in Question 1a.
b. Further modify the MechBayes SEIRHD model and do a model space exploration and model selection from the following models, based on comparing forecasts of cases and deaths to actual data: SEIRD, SEIRHD, and SIRHD models. Use data from April 1, 2020 – April 30, 2020 from the scenario location (Massachusetts) for fitting these models. Then make out-of-sample forecasts from the same 6-week period from May 1 – June 15, 2020, and compare with actual data. Comment on the quality of the fit for each of these models.
c. Do a 3-way structural model comparison between the SEIRD, SEIRHD, and SIRHD models.
The text was updated successfully, but these errors were encountered:
The text was updated successfully, but these errors were encountered: